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The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner, by Daniel Ellsberg

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Review

"The Doomsday Machine is being published at an alarmingly relevant moment, as North Korea is seeking the capability to target the United States with nuclear missiles, and an unpredictable president, Donald Trump, has countered with threats of 'fire and fury.' " - New York Magazine"A groundbreaking and nightmare-inducing account of how the whole mad system works." - Esquire"One of the best books ever written on the subject--certainly the most honest and revealing account by an insider who plunged deep into the nuclear rabbit hole's mad logic and came out the other side." - Fred Kaplan, Slate"Daniel Ellsberg's The Doomsday Machine (Bloomsbury) unpacks the power of our atomic arsenal." - Vanity Fair"Ellsberg, the dauntless whistle-blower, has written a timely plea for a reassessment of a weapons program that he describes as 'institutionalized madness.' " - Best Books of the Year 2017, The San Francisco Chronicle"A passionate call for reducing the risk of total destruction . . . Ellsberg's effort to make vivid the genuine madness of the 'doomsday machine,' and the foolishness of betting our survival on mutually assured destruction, is both commendable and important." - Editor's Choice, New York Times Book Review"Brilliantly and readably tackles an issue even more crucial than decision-making in the U.S. intervention in Vietnam, which is policy on the handling of nuclear weapons." - 10 Excellent December Books, Huffington Post"This candid and chilling memoir describes how Ellsberg came to recognize that the U.S. military’s approach to preparing for nuclear war was terrifyingly casual. If war came, the United States was ready to obliterate not only the Soviet Union but also China--a plan that would have immediately produced 275 million fatalities and then led to another 50 million, owing to the effects of radiation." - Foreign Affairs, "Best Books of the Year""Gripping and unnerving . . . A must-read of the highest order, Ellsberg's profoundly awakening chronicle is essential to our future." - Starred review, Booklist (“High Demand Backstory”)"Ellsberg’s brilliant and unnerving account makes a convincing case for disarmament and shows that the mere existence of nuclear weapons is a serious threat to humanity." - Starred review, Publishers WeeklyNoted gadfly Ellsberg returns with a sobering look at our nuclear capabilities . . . When the author hurriedly copied the contents of his RAND "Corporation safe to reveal, in time, what would become known as the Pentagon Papers, that was just the start of it. He had other documents, even more jarring . . . Especially timely given the recent saber-rattling not from Russia but North Korea and given the apparent proliferation of nuclear abilities among other small powers." - Kirkus Reviews"His point is simple: We and our political leaders must stop thinking of nuclear war as a manageable risk. We must stop thinking of the possibility of nuclear war as normal." - St Louis Post-Dispatch, "Our Favorite Books of 2017""The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner blends personal recollections and historical analysis with a set of considered proposals for reducing the threat of apocalyptic war. Many years in the making, it’s a book that arrives at an opportune moment." - San Francisco Chronicle"Ellsberg’s book, perhaps the most personal memoir yet from a Cold Warrior, fills an important void by providing firsthand testimony about the nuclear insanity that gripped a generation of policymakers . . . The Doomsday Machine is strongest as a portrait of the slow corruption of America’s national security state by layer upon layer of secrecy. He relates how the Cold War, the nuclear build-up and trillions of dollars of defense spending were compromised by information purposely withheld from the policymakers and politicians who debated and shaped our path" - Washington Post"History may remember Ellsberg as the whistleblower who leaked the Pentagon Papers and helped end the Vietnam War, but his alarmingly relevant new book should also assure his legacy as a prescient and authoritative anti-nuclear activist. The Doomsday Machine, which takes its title from Dr. Strangelove, reads like a thriller as Ellsberg figures out that America's pledge never to attack first was fiction and that the so called 'fail-safe' systems are prone to disaster." - Los Angeles Review of Books"Ellsberg writes briskly in the service of opinions formed by long and sober study. What he means is never in doubt and it is always interesting . . . He is a vigorous writer with a gift for dramatic tension and the unfolding of events as they cascade toward disaster." - Thomas Powers, New York Review of Books"Ellsberg presents his thoughts on how best to dismantle a program that could lead to global annihilation, while once again proving how deeply disturbing and radically ignorant our country's leaders are when it comes to thermonuclear warfare." - SF Weekly"The Doomsday Machine is chilling, compelling and certain to be controversial." - Minneapolis Star Tribune"Is it really necessary to declare that a knowledgeable, detailed and passionate book about the odds-on danger of cataclysmically destroying all human life on earth is important? Daniel Ellsberg's The Doomsday Machine demands to be widely read. Its claims should be examined by experts, corroborated, rebutted, taken up by Congressional committees (alas, unlikely) and generally forced into public consciousness . . . The Doomsday Machine is engrossing and frightening." - Peter Steinfels, America Magazine"In the era of barbed insults regarded as precursors to nuclear threat, the warnings yielded by The Doomsday Machine have become required reading. . . . Daniel Ellsberg's title evokes Kubrick's film on purpose, a metaphor that culminates in his definition of the 'Strangelove Paradox.' The United States has thousands of 'Doomdsay Machine' weapons and hundreds of 'fingers on the button.' The question the reader must ask, now mortified by the necessary horrors of Ellsberg's masterpiece, is how to save the world" - Nuclear Age Peace Foundation"The Doomsday Machine is, in fact, a Bildungsroman, a tale of one intellectual’s disillusionment with the country in which Ellsberg had placed so much trust. It reveals how the horrors of US nuclear war planning transformed a man of the establishment into a left-wing firebrand." - Los Angeles Times"[The Doomsday Machine is] an important tome that’s as optimistic as it sounds. It’s vital reading that reminds people that both poor planning--such as the US under Dwight Eisenhower having no contingency in place for only bombing the USSR into dust, but it being a package deal with China, something that confirmed the rigidity of these planners as well as their blithely democidal tendencies--and the potential for simple mistakes still run rampant in US nuclear policy." - antiwar.com"Gripping . . . The Doomsday Machine is essential reading--both a terrifying ‘Doctor Strangelove’ saga and a hopeful consideration of future scenarios." - Mercury News"Ellsberg's book is essential for facilitating a national discussion about a vital topic." - Starred review, Library Journal"Alarming, galvanizing, and brilliantly written." - Barnes & Noble Review"Given the current crises, both domestic and international, the timeliness of Ellsberg’s exposures―and warnings―is unnerving... The Doomsday Machine is not for the faint of heart, but its sense of urgency should make it required reading, and―more importantly―a call to action." - BookPage"From a close insider's perspective, he describes how the U.S. came to create and adjust this potentially world-destroying arsenal, how presidents have used it to threaten foreign leaders, and the responses of other nuclear powers. We have narrowly avoided many previous crises, but he fears that the current U.S. administration could charge straight into a worst-case scenario. This book deserves to be widely read, discussed and acted upon." - Shelf Awareness"In his recent book The Doomsday Machine, Daniel Ellsberg reports that the basic elements of US preparations for nuclear war have been little changed over the past three generations . . . Ellsberg's warning needs to be taken seriously." - Truthout"Speaking with the authority of an insider who was intimately involved with nuclear strategy and policymaking at the highest levels, he reveals that practically everything the American public believes about nuclear war and nuclear weapons is, quite simply, a 'deliberate deception.' . . . One can only hope Daniel Ellsberg's singular combination of moral credibility and personal knowledge will work its magic one more time to forestall an even greater tragedy than the Vietnam War." - Undark Magazine"The book is a revelation, and it raises so many essential questions that have been very inadequately discussed about nuclear war, realistic appraisal of its consequences and nuclear winter. Ellsberg places his discussion inside a history of the law of war since the early 20th century. . . . Ellsberg has performed his greatest public service yet with the publication of this book." - The Concord Monitor"A treasure of finely woven secrets and insights lies in Daniel Ellsberg’s new memoir, The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner. Their importance grows each day that the nuclear stand-offs on the Korean Peninsula, in South Asia and between the United States and Russia go unabated." - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace"Shocking . . . The Doomsday Machine is full of deeply disturbing revelations. The book sometimes reads like a thriller, as Ellsberg describes his mounting horror and revulsion over the discoveries he made over the years." - Five out of Five, Berkleyside"Daniel Ellsberg's latest book is a disturbing analysis about how close we have been--and still are--to a nuclear holocaust." - Buffalo News"As with the Pentagon Papers, Ellsberg has performed a public service in writing a candid book that states where we are more than seven decades into the nuclear era. This book provides abundant evidence that describes our nuclear predicament and how we got here, as well as ideas and insights that may help extricate us from the potentially devastating path we now walk." - Arms Control Today"This is a compelling and alarming book, and it should be read by anyone who cares about the human future." - The Montreal Gazette"There is much in Ellsberg’s book that is new, and may even be revelatory to many readers . . . To be sure, Ellsberg is hardly the first Jeremiah to warn that nuclear war is ‘a catastrophe waiting to happen' . . . Ellsberg is, nonetheless, the most recent, the best informed--and plainly the most motivated--to remind us, since then, of our present and continuing danger." - H-Diplo"An absolutely imperative read in this day and age of Trump, Putin, Kim Jong Un, and global instability." - Helen Caldicott, Founding President, Physicians for Social Responsibility"This long-awaited chronicle from the father of American whistle-blowing is both an urgent warning and a call to arms to a public that has grown dangerously habituated to the idea that the means of our extinction will forever be on hair-trigger alert." - Edward Snowden"Nobody could have told this horrifying story better than Daniel Ellsberg. He introduces us to the men who have coldly and with a God-like sense of righteous entitlement, put in place a plan that can, on a whim--not virtually, but literally--annihilate life on Earth. What a book." - Arundhati Roy, anti-nuclear activist and author of THE MINISTRY OF UTMOST HAPPINESS and the Pulitzer Prize-winner THE GOD OF SMALL THINGS"A fascinating and terrifying account of nuclear war planning by a consultant from the RAND Corporation at the highest levels of government in the Kennedy administration. Ellsberg tells us of the close calls with nuclear war and of the policies developed then that still threaten the planet with annihilation. I couldn't put the book down." - Frances FitzGerald, Pulitzer Prize-winning author of FIRE IN THE LAKE

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About the Author

In 1961, Daniel Ellsberg, a consultant to the White House, drafted Secretary Robert McNamara's plans for nuclear war. Later he leaked the Pentagon Papers. A senior fellow of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation, he is the author of Secrets and the subject of the Oscar-nominated documentary The Most Dangerous Man in America. He is also a key figure in Steven Spielberg’s film about the Pentagon Papers, The Post, and the winner of the Olof Palme Prize for profound humanism and exceptional moral courage. He lives in Kensington, California, with his wife, Patricia.

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Product details

Paperback: 432 pages

Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing; Reprint edition (December 4, 2018)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 1608196739

ISBN-13: 978-1608196739

Product Dimensions:

5.6 x 1.2 x 8.3 inches

Shipping Weight: 15.2 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.5 out of 5 stars

187 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#70,639 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Every adult needs to read this book and put pressure on Congress to reduce our On Alert Nuclear status. .. below is a quote from Kruschev a few years after the Cuban missle crisis.“When I asked the military advisors if they could assure me that holding fast would not result in the death of five hundred million human beings, they looked at me as though I was out of my mind, or what was worse, a traitor. The biggest tragedy, as they saw it, was not that our country might be devastated and everything lost, but that the Chinese or the Albanians might accuse us of appeasement or weakness. So I said to myself, “To hell with these maniacs. If I can get the United States to assure me that it will not attempt to overthrow the Cuban government, I will remove the missiles.” That is what happened, and now I am reviled by the Chinese and the Albanians.… They say I was afraid to stand up to a paper tiger. It is all such nonsense. What good would it have done me in the last hour of my life to know that though our great nation and the United States were in complete ruins, the national honor of the Soviet Union was intact? “That last line, indeed the whole quote, deserves to be studied by all those whose fingers hover over the trigger to a Doomsday Machine.

The Doomsday Machine by Ellsberg is an excellent introduction to the complexities of nuclear weapons and their deployment. Ellsberg covers the period of the 1960s, especially the first half, and the nature of the command and control of nuclear weapons deployment. His views were based upon his consulting as a RAND employee and having the ability to move in and around the multiplicity of players in this area. One may think that the President is the sole point of activation of a nuclear release but as Ellsberg so clearly shows the ability to deploy was and most likely still is diffused to the lowest levels.Ellsberg depicts a Major in South Korea in charge of a bunch of nuclear armed F100s, all equipped with tactical but deadly nuclear bombs, who has taken it upon himself to determine when his pilots will deploy their weapons. Ellsberg also infers that the pilots themselves could even individually make the decision to deploy. Ellsberg does discuss the details of how a multiple F100 deployment may very well blow some of the F100s to shreds when the other have deployed due to the wide area blast effects.The discussion of the SIOP (Single Integrated Operational Plan) plans and the various attack options that the US had developed. In contrast he does not discuss the Red Integrated Strategic Offensive Plan (RISOP) plan which is a counter to SIOP. Yet his discussion of the military and its nonchalant acceptance of 100 million casualties, namely deaths, was typical of military planner during this period. He does a superb job in characterizing the mindset of the planners and those in command regarding their near comfort in seeing just 100 million dead Americans as long as they could exterminate a larger number of Russians and Chinese.Ellsberg's telling of this situation and in this time frame is unique because he was at the level of an observer, having no political gain to be made, being at RAND and being but a consultant, albeit one with extraordinary access.Ellsberg does spend a reasonable amount of space on the issues of limiting nuclear weapons especially first strike capabilities. However as he had already detailed first strike management could already be out of the hands of an President. In fact the President, who may think he or she has the "button" may be circumvented by some field commander, or worse, by a single pilot or sub commander. The movie Fail Safe startled Ellsberg by its reality. Worse was that it portrayed a Doomsday Machine which would only deter if the other side was aware of it.To a degree, my time on nuclear weapons was a decade later than Ellsberg, ironically my first day after my PhD was the day Ellsberg's material hit the NY Times. Coming from MIT, and Ellsberg then being at MIT, I was looked at a bit askance. Yet over the next decade as I became involved in the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, especially during the Carter period, it was clear that the only way to use a nuclear weapon was not to use a nuclear weapon. The RISOP scenarios showed the annihilation of life on the planet. There was no way to win, first strike or otherwise. A Russian and US nuclear war was the destruction of all. Ironically in my later discussions with my Russian partners after the fall it was clear that they too understood this, positioning or not.The risk is a rogue player, one who can really push the button. That perhaps is more of a reality today than during the 60s and 70s. Ellsberg's book is a must read for anyone interested in the nuclear debate, a debate whose only solution in my opinion is not to use the device.

As in his previous book, Ellsberg writes a clear, lucid prose from an insider's perspective that few have shared. The total picture he shares of our nuclear program is chilling, mirroring and going beyond other revelations of the past few decades. Among other things, his presentation from nearby further adds to my impression that American military planners of the 50's and 60's had lost their reason, were consumed by a lust for killing beyond the dreams of the Mongol hordes. Civilian control of the military has become increasingly tenuous with the creation of a permanent military state, and nowhere is this shown more clearly than in the face-off with Admiral Arleigh Burke, when the Secretary of Defense's office gets a tongue-lashing from the Admiral for interfering with a ship deployment that was violating our treaty agreement with Japan not to put nuclear weapons on their territory. It's just as disturbing to see the lengths to which the Pentagon went to keep the President and Secretary of Defense from even knowing that they had a top-secret plan for total nuclear war, of which not even the acronym could be spoken.Some people are fond of saying that the tree of liberty must be watered with the blood of patriots. Ellsberg, who at one time faced 120 years in prison for exposing government deception of the people, military deception of the government, and military deception of itself, is a prime example of a patriot. I'm grateful for this book, which deserves a wide audience.

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